# TSLA
TSLA: 2 个动态信号池（MA5MA30 / 温度计），在 TSLA 与 AZO+ORLY 之间轮动。
## 当前持仓
AAZO+ORLY64%
−2.7%·2026-07-14·held 2d
AZO$3,046→$2,972−2.4%
ORLY$86.41→$82.73−4.3%
BAZO+ORLY36%
−9.2%·2026-07-01·held 10d
AZO$3,200→$2,972−7.1%
ORLY$92.79→$82.73−10.8%
## metrics
strategyhodl
cagr+57.0%+33.2%
// 年化复合增长率 (Compound Annual Growth Rate)。如果每年都以这个速率增长，经过 N 年会达到当前终值。
= CAGR = (终值 / 初值) ^ (1 / 年数) − 1
dd-24.3%-73.6%
// 回撤。Strategy 列是账户最大回撤，按每笔平仓后的账户净值计算；HODL 列没有平仓事件，仍按每日净值计算。
= Strategy: max((历史最高平仓后净值 − 当前平仓后净值) / 历史最高平仓后净值)，平仓点在下一仓买入和当日波动前。HODL: 每日净值 peak-to-date 回撤。
sharpe1.370.79
// 每承受一单位波动率获得的超额回报。> 1 为好，> 2 为优秀。
= Sharpe = mean(daily return) / std(daily return) × √365
sortino1.981.14
// 类似 Sharpe 但只惩罚下行波动，对非对称收益更公平。正向大涨不算"风险"。
= Sortino = mean(daily return) / downside_std × √365
final×178.35×26.97
// 总倍数 — 初始投入到现在翻了多少倍。×800 = 投入 $1 变成 $800。
= Total = 终值 / 初值
## equity (log scale)2015-01..2026-07
## account drawdown (strategy)
## monthly (strategy)
| jan | feb | mar | apr | may | jun | jul | aug | sep | oct | nov | dec | ytd |
|---|
| 2015 | -1 | -7 | +5 | +4 | +11 | +3 | -2 | +3 | -1 | -1 | +4 | -3 | +15 |
| 2016 | -1 | +3 | +20 | -0 | -4 | -0 | +5 | -9 | +2 | -4 | +0 | +8 | +18 |
| 2017 | +18 | +1 | -2 | +10 | -0 | +6 | -4 | -1 | +2 | -1 | +7 | -2 | +33 |
| 2018 | +10 | -10 | -4 | +3 | +4 | +9 | +1 | +10 | +8 | +3 | +3 | -2 | +40 |
| 2019 | -3 | +9 | +9 | -0 | -8 | +9 | +2 | -0 | +3 | +27 | +7 | +20 | +100 |
| 2020 | +56 | +8 | -16 | +24 | +5 | +21 | +27 | +47 | -16 | -8 | +12 | +20 | +330 |
| 2021 | +10 | -0 | +13 | +5 | -7 | +10 | -5 | -2 | +4 | +44 | -0 | -2 | +82 |
| 2022 | -5 | -3 | +20 | -24 | +4 | -5 | +18 | -6 | +1 | +18 | +0 | -3 | +7 |
| 2023 | +25 | +16 | -3 | -4 | +12 | +26 | -2 | +4 | -7 | -4 | +7 | +2 | +92 |
| 2024 | +5 | +8 | -6 | -4 | -4 | +10 | +20 | +4 | +9 | -14 | +37 | +14 | +96 |
| 2025 | +3 | -2 | +12 | -9 | +14 | -7 | -4 | +7 | +29 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +36 |
| 2026 | +5 | -5 | -9 | +4 | +0 | -1 | -12 | · | · | · | · | · | -17 |
## trades (372)
#1AZO+ORLYLIVE−2.7%07-14
pool-A·2d
AZO$3,046→$2,972−2.4%
ORLY$86.41→$82.73−4.3%
#2TSLA+1.0%07-13 → 07-14
pool-A·2d·$404.61→$399.05
entry 2026-07-13 · $404.61
exit 2026-07-14 · $399.05
#3AZO+ORLY+2.7%07-09 → 07-13
pool-A·3d
entry 2026-07-09 · —
exit 2026-07-13 · —
#4TSLA−2.3%07-07 → 07-09
pool-A·3d·$416.96→$393.99
entry 2026-07-07 · $416.96
exit 2026-07-09 · $393.99
#5AZO+ORLYLIVE−9.2%07-01
pool-B·10d
AZO$3,200→$2,972−7.1%
ORLY$92.79→$82.73−10.8%
#6TSLA+0.1%06-30 → 07-01
pool-B·2d·$406.00→$421.46
entry 2026-06-30 · $406.00
exit 2026-07-01 · $421.46
#7AZO+ORLY+1.0%06-26 → 06-30
pool-B·3d
entry 2026-06-26 · —
exit 2026-06-30 · —
#8TSLA−9.0%06-12 → 06-26
pool-B·10d·$399.49→$370.15
entry 2026-06-12 · $399.49
exit 2026-06-26 · $370.15
#9AZO+ORLY−4.3%06-09 → 07-07
pool-A·19d
entry 2026-06-09 · —
exit 2026-07-07 · —
#10AZO+ORLY−4.8%05-19 → 06-12
pool-B·18d
entry 2026-05-19 · —
exit 2026-06-12 · —
#11TSLA−9.5%05-11 → 05-19
pool-B·7d·$422.16→$403.16
entry 2026-05-11 · $422.16
exit 2026-05-19 · $403.16
#12TSLA+4.6%04-20 → 06-09
pool-A·36d·$402.58→$411.03
entry 2026-04-20 · $402.58
exit 2026-06-09 · $411.03
#13AZO+ORLY−0.5%04-16 → 05-11
pool-B·18d
entry 2026-04-16 · —
exit 2026-05-11 · —
#14TSLA+8.0%04-14 → 04-16
pool-B·3d·$357.67→$393.81
entry 2026-04-14 · $357.67
exit 2026-04-16 · $393.81
#15AZO+ORLY+0.4%04-08 → 04-14
pool-B·5d
entry 2026-04-08 · —
exit 2026-04-14 · —
#16TSLA−4.7%04-01 → 04-08
pool-B·5d·$378.63→$363.79
entry 2026-04-01 · $378.63
exit 2026-04-08 · $363.79
#17AZO+ORLY+0.1%03-31 → 04-01
pool-B·2d
entry 2026-03-31 · —
exit 2026-04-01 · —
#18TSLA−5.7%03-24 → 03-31
pool-B·6d·$376.56→$361.51
entry 2026-03-24 · $376.56
exit 2026-03-31 · $361.51
#19AZO+ORLY−0.7%03-23 → 03-24
pool-B·2d
entry 2026-03-23 · —
exit 2026-03-24 · —
#20TSLA−10.7%02-09 → 03-23
pool-B·30d·$409.91→$373.09
entry 2026-02-09 · $409.91
exit 2026-03-23 · $373.09
#21AZO+ORLY+1.2%02-05 → 02-09
pool-B·3d
entry 2026-02-05 · —
exit 2026-02-09 · —
#22TSLA−11.7%01-22 → 02-05
pool-B·11d·$435.16→$397.02
entry 2026-01-22 · $435.16
exit 2026-02-05 · $397.02
#23AZO+ORLY−0.5%01-21 → 01-22
pool-B·2d
entry 2026-01-21 · —
exit 2026-01-22 · —
#24TSLA−6.2%01-12 → 01-21
pool-B·7d·$441.23→$421.66
entry 2026-01-12 · $441.23
exit 2026-01-21 · $421.66
#25AZO+ORLY+6.9%01-06 → 04-20
pool-A·72d
entry 2026-01-06 · —
exit 2026-04-20 · —
#26AZO+ORLY+1.5%12-29 → 01-12
pool-B·10d
entry 2025-12-29 · —
exit 2026-01-12 · —
#27TSLA+3.0%12-05 → 12-29
pool-B·16d·$453.03→$469.00
entry 2025-12-05 · $453.03
exit 2025-12-29 · $469.00
#28TSLA−1.9%12-04 → 01-06
pool-A·22d·$449.94→$446.38
entry 2025-12-04 · $449.94
exit 2026-01-06 · $446.38